STATE OF HOUSING
At the Kitchen Cabinet
Manufacturers Association, we always try to keep an eye on the housing
industry. The kitchen is the heart of the home after all, and if housing isn’t
doing well, then cabinets aren’t doing well. Here’s an update on how things are
looking for housing lately.
Annual growth in the national
market for home improvement and repair is expected to slow considerably by the
end of the year, according to the latest Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity (LIRA)
report from the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies. Gains are expected to
shrink from 7.5% in 2018 to 5.1% in 2019.
Photo courtesy of Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies |
According to the 2019 Houzz
Kitchen Trend Study, 78% of homeowners surveyed noted that cabinets were
the most important feature to upgrade during a remodel. This means that if
remodeling activity is expected to slow, it could adversely affect cabinet
companies.
The report cites slowing
house price appreciation, flat home sales activity and rising mortgage rates
are decreasing owners’ interest in making major investments in home
improvements this year. In addition, The National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB)
recently
reported on how the shut down is negatively impacting the housing industry:
- FHA-insured single-family loans can still close
during the shutdown but that decision will be determined by each
individual lender
- No new multifamily firm commitments will be
issued
- No Real Estate Assessment Center (REAC)
inspections will occur during the shutdown
- Future reports on items like housing starts and
new home sales could be postponed
The Office of Single-Family Housing will not
endorse Home Equity Conversion Mortgages (HECMs and also referred to as FHA
reverse mortgages) during the shutdown.
Photo courtesy of NAHB. |
The government is now closing
in on one month of the shut-down and it is not yet known how long it could
last, and what the long-term impacts might be on housing for the remainder of
the year.
Despite the seemingly
negative outlook, improvement and repair spending is
still set to expand this year to more than $350 million. And,
remodelers' confidence is holding steady as many factors for the remodeling
market (including demographics and economic growth) remain favorable.
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